In Q2 2025, China’s onion market has entered a phase of supply expansion and increased risk of price declines. This article breaks down the key trends in simple terms and includes a clear price comparison chart for better understanding.
🧅 Supply Grows Across More Regions
In Q1 2025, the main onion supplier was Yunnan Province. By April and May, more regions—Sichuan, Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, and others—joined in with new harvests.
By June, even more supply came from Hebei, Shanxi, and Shaanxi. With so many onions entering the market, prices started to drop.
📉 Price Comparison Table
Here’s a simple table comparing the onion prices from major regions in Q2 2025:
| Region & Onion Type | Initial Price (Yuan/500g) | Price on April 23 (Yuan/500g) | Price Drop (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yunnan (Jianshui, red) | 1.18 | 0.46 | -61.02% |
| Sichuan (Xichang, red) | 0.45 | 0.28 | -37.78% |
| Yunnan (Yuanmou, yellow) | 0.80 | 0.55 | -31.25% |
And here’s a simple chart to visualize it:
⚠️ More Supply, More Risks
As supply grows from different regions, the onion quality, farming costs, and seller mindsets differ. That means:
More competition between regions.
Buyers have more choices.
Price fluctuations become more likely.
Prices tend to drop rather than rise.
📦 Demand Expected to Fall
In past years (2022–2023), onion sales in Q2 were usually lower than in Q1. The only exception was in 2024, when prices fell after Q1’s high costs, briefly boosting demand.
Now in 2025:
Q1 saw strong demand at high prices.
In April, vegetable prices dropped.
Onion demand in May–June is expected to decrease again due to weak market recovery.
🔄 Long-Term Outlook: Seasonal Price Drops Ahead
Historically, onion prices follow a seasonal trend:
Prices start to drop in April.
May and June often show continued decline.
Unless something extreme happens on the demand side, prices are likely to keep falling.
📌 Conclusion
In Q2 2025:
Supply is strong and wide-ranging.
Demand is likely to decrease.
Onion prices will likely keep falling.
If you’re watching the onion market or trading onions, this is a key time to stay alert. The trend is clear: prices are more likely to fall than rise.
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